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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+6.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.30+5.03vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.68+10.50vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+1.03vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.70+4.18vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+1.50vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.75-1.67vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+2.92vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72+0.18vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71-0.55vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.22+0.35vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.25-0.49vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.67vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.17-6.82vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-3.14vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-7.40vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.17-5.43vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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13.5University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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5.03Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.18Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.5Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.33College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.92Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.18George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.45Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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11.51University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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10.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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11.86Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.57Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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13.91SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 22.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Augie Dale | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Howie | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.