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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+6.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+5.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.73vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.72+5.00vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.71+3.81vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+5.76vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+3.75vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.81-3.03vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.75-3.64vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.17-2.88vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.25-0.11vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.22-1.07vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.17-1.80vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-4.87vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-4.83vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-7.66vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.0George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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8.81Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.76Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.75Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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7.12Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.89University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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11.2Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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9.13Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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10.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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13.58SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 13.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 17.1% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 7.7% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.