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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+3.83vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.25+8.68vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+4.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.75+1.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+2.11vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+1.45vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+1.27vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+2.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.30-2.13vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.72-1.17vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-0.71vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.22-1.96vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-4.77vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.55vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.17-4.86vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.71-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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10.68University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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7.35Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.45Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.52Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.83George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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11.55Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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9.23Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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13.45SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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9.11Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 16.8% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Augie Dale | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Grace Howie | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 16.4% | 32.8% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.