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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+5.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.76+3.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+2.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.08+4.36vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.95+0.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.43+1.07vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.59-0.73vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.26+0.32vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+1.53vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.05-0.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.56-1.53vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.10-1.62vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.02-1.48vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.96vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.45-2.40vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.80-2.29vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.79-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Roger Williams University1.558.5%1st Place
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5.76Brown University1.7611.4%1st Place
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5.33Boston College1.9713.4%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College1.085.0%1st Place
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5.6Boston College1.9512.6%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University1.437.5%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University1.599.5%1st Place
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8.32Northeastern University1.265.8%1st Place
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10.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.0%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College0.055.0%1st Place
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9.47Boston University0.565.0%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.1%1st Place
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11.38University of New Hampshire0.102.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Vermont-0.021.8%1st Place
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11.04Olin College of Engineering0.223.1%1st Place
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13.6Bentley University-0.451.5%1st Place
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14.71University of Connecticut-0.801.0%1st Place
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14.89Salve Regina University-0.790.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Sam Harris | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| William Denker | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% |
| James Jagielski | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| John O'Connell | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 17.4% |
| Ryan Treat | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 28.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.