Race 14A

navy-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Clark Uhl 7.7% 8.8% 9.3% 8.4% 6.3% 9.0% 7.6% 9.3% 5.8% 6.1% 6.4% 5.5% 4.5% 2.4% 2.3% 0.6%
Jensen McTighe 2.8% 4.1% 3.7% 4.4% 5.0% 5.0% 6.0% 4.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.6% 7.5% 9.2% 9.3% 11.9% 7.9%
Parker Loftus 10.1% 9.0% 8.1% 7.8% 10.1% 8.2% 8.8% 6.8% 8.6% 7.2% 5.6% 3.2% 2.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.5%
Carrson Pearce 6.9% 9.1% 7.8% 8.4% 7.6% 8.0% 7.5% 9.2% 7.8% 5.8% 4.8% 5.6% 5.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Augie Dale 13.9% 14.7% 12.9% 10.4% 9.7% 8.5% 9.2% 6.2% 4.5% 4.3% 2.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Rosenberg 7.5% 7.0% 9.9% 10.0% 7.7% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 6.4% 6.6% 5.3% 4.9% 4.7% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1%
Sean Segerblom 15.9% 13.9% 11.8% 11.5% 9.0% 8.9% 7.7% 6.4% 4.3% 3.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Luca Taglialegne 3.2% 3.6% 4.1% 4.0% 4.8% 5.1% 5.5% 5.0% 6.6% 6.1% 6.8% 8.6% 8.8% 10.5% 10.1% 7.2%
Andrew Sheerin 5.4% 5.3% 6.6% 4.8% 6.7% 6.8% 6.4% 7.0% 8.1% 7.9% 7.7% 6.7% 6.6% 5.7% 5.0% 3.3%
Robert Turigliatto 3.2% 3.3% 3.7% 3.9% 2.9% 4.1% 5.1% 4.8% 6.0% 6.4% 6.9% 9.3% 9.9% 11.9% 11.0% 7.6%
Matt Cappetta 6.0% 4.9% 6.2% 5.7% 6.4% 6.0% 6.6% 5.7% 6.8% 8.1% 8.0% 7.5% 8.1% 5.8% 5.2% 3.0%
Grace Howie 3.4% 2.5% 2.3% 2.7% 4.2% 4.1% 4.0% 5.7% 5.3% 5.3% 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 9.6% 14.0% 14.8%
Connor Ratcliff 2.5% 3.0% 3.1% 4.5% 4.8% 4.4% 4.0% 5.7% 5.1% 6.1% 7.6% 8.5% 9.7% 10.3% 9.2% 11.5%
Aidan Molesky 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.5% 3.6% 3.6% 5.1% 4.5% 5.6% 6.6% 8.4% 16.9% 33.6%
Jack Elkin 6.4% 5.6% 5.0% 7.0% 7.8% 7.3% 7.8% 6.3% 7.9% 7.6% 7.9% 7.2% 6.5% 5.0% 2.9% 1.8%
Pierre Thibodeau 3.5% 3.5% 3.8% 5.2% 4.6% 5.8% 4.7% 4.9% 7.4% 8.1% 8.2% 9.0% 7.7% 10.1% 7.0% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.