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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.25+4.64vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+3.20vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+4.05vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+3.05vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+2.34vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93+0.52vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.60+0.73vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.63+3.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+1.95vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.07+0.09vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.62-3.18vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.08+1.83vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-4.67vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.73-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.04-1.36vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.18-2.68vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.65-5.38vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.33-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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5.2College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.05Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.05George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.73Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.5Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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13.83Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.33Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.83Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.64University of South Florida1.040.0%1st Place
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13.32SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
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11.62Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.53Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bayless | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Person | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% |
| Luke Welker | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Richard McCann | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 23.6% |
| Phillip Schofield | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 20.3% |
| William Sesack | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 18.5% |
| Caelan Watts | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% |
| Zane Tinnell | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.