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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+4.57vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+4.76vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.07+5.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+5.80vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+5.05vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.60+0.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.25-2.73vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.43-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.04+3.72vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.12+2.39vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-4.61vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.63-1.71vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.33-1.69vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-7.83vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.18-2.87vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.82-9.99vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.57Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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11.05Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.72Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.72University of South Florida1.040.0%1st Place
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13.39Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.39George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.29Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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12.31Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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7.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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13.13SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
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7.01Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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13.36Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Person | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Richard McCann | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Luke Welker | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Bayless | 13.7% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 21.0% |
| Harris Cram | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 17.7% |
| Riley Legault | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Zane Tinnell | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Sesack | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.