← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.37+4.19vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.25+3.47vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.76+4.25vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.43+4.23vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.07+4.66vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+1.27vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.82-0.17vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.04+5.41vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.62-1.42vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College1.63+1.70vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.60-3.14vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-0.82vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University1.08+0.25vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.33-1.72vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.93-8.65vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University1.73-4.86vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University1.12-3.58vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College1.18-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.19College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
5.47U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
-
7.25George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.23Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.66University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
-
7.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
6.83Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
-
13.41University of South Florida1.040.0%1st Place
-
7.58Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
-
11.7Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
-
7.86Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
-
11.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
-
13.25Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
12.28Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
-
6.35Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.14Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
13.42Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
-
12.93SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 13.6% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Richard McCann | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 18.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Brad Seferian | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Luke Welker | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 18.2% |
| Zane Tinnell | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Person | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Harris Cram | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 18.7% |
| William Sesack | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.