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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.25+4.25vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+2.87vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+3.74vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.73+6.73vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+2.05vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.07+3.71vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-2.02vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.49-0.14vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.60-1.27vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.67+0.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-0.33vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.62-4.52vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.08+0.01vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.43-5.69vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.18-2.45vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.12-3.06vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.33-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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4.87Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.74Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.73Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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4.98College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.86George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.73Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.9Eckerd College1.670.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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13.01Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.31Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.55SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
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12.94Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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12.2Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bayless | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 14.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Richard McCann | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Brad Seferian | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Douglas | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
| Luke Welker | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 21.1% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| William Sesack | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 19.6% |
| Harris Cram | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 20.6% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.