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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.43+6.24vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+3.41vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26+5.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.76+1.78vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.95+0.52vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.59+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.10+4.58vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.22+3.46vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+1.21vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.55-3.50vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.05-1.55vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.56-2.75vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.32vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.08-5.77vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.02-2.75vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.79-1.12vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.80-2.37vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.45-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Roger Williams University1.437.8%1st Place
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5.41Boston College1.9712.3%1st Place
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8.14Northeastern University1.266.1%1st Place
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5.78Brown University1.7612.0%1st Place
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5.52Boston College1.9512.6%1st Place
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6.09Tufts University1.5910.2%1st Place
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11.58University of New Hampshire0.101.6%1st Place
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11.46Olin College of Engineering0.222.7%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.6%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University1.559.2%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College0.054.2%1st Place
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9.25Boston University0.563.9%1st Place
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10.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.0%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College1.085.8%1st Place
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12.25University of Vermont-0.022.4%1st Place
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14.88Salve Regina University-0.790.5%1st Place
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14.63University of Connecticut-0.801.1%1st Place
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13.7Bentley University-0.451.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Lory | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| James Brock | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| James Jagielski | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| William Denker | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 31.7% |
| Ryan Treat | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 27.9% |
| John O'Connell | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.