← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.22+1.22vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida2.80+0.79vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii3.04-0.53vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College0.56+2.09vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University1.32-0.05vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.73-0.19vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine0.90-1.40vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University0.49-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.22College of Charleston3.220.4%1st Place
-
2.79University of South Florida2.800.2%1st Place
-
2.47University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
-
6.09Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
-
4.95Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
-
5.81University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
-
5.6University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
-
6.07Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 35.7% | 28.8% | 19.8% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 21.9% | 23.1% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.1% | 27.3% | 24.4% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Julia Melton | 1.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 22.8% | 27.3% |
| Mary Duncan | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 21.5% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 7.0% |
| Christine Sayler | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 19.9% | 21.7% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 21.2% | 16.7% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.