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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+3.77vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+2.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.25+2.28vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+2.78vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+1.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+4.74vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.07+2.53vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.62-0.63vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.12+4.03vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.08+2.98vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.18+1.67vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.33+0.16vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.60-5.28vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.73-3.09vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.67-4.03vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.43-7.74vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.49-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.87College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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6.78Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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7.37Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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13.03Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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12.98Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.67SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
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12.16Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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7.72Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.91Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.97Eckerd College1.670.0%1st Place
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8.26Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.02George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 15.2% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Welker | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Richard McCann | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Harris Cram | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 23.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 19.8% |
| William Sesack | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 19.3% |
| Zane Tinnell | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% |
| Brad Seferian | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Cameron Douglas | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Phillip Schofield | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.