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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.82+5.71vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.07+6.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.25+1.47vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.49+2.92vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.38-0.83vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.67+4.16vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.60-0.46vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.18+3.94vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.43-1.81vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73-0.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-1.30vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-5.31vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.08-0.84vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.65-3.86vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-8.67vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.33-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.9College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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9.67University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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7.92George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.17Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.16Eckerd College1.670.0%1st Place
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7.54Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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12.94SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
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8.19Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.96Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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13.16Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.14Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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12.35Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreugh Phillips | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Douglas | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| William Sesack | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 20.8% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% |
| Luke Welker | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 24.4% |
| Caelan Watts | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.