Race 14B

navy-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Alie Toppa 15.0% 14.4% 13.2% 10.4% 10.6% 9.2% 6.8% 5.7% 4.7% 3.3% 2.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Charlotte Leclue 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 3.7% 6.0% 3.1% 4.5% 5.5% 6.9% 5.5% 8.4% 7.6% 11.3% 9.8% 10.5% 8.1%
Connor Bayless 13.5% 11.9% 11.0% 11.0% 10.5% 7.8% 10.2% 6.7% 6.6% 3.2% 2.6% 2.3% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 3.5% 2.6% 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 6.5% 8.8% 9.5% 16.5% 28.2%
Charles Carraway 7.0% 6.9% 7.8% 8.2% 8.4% 9.3% 7.4% 8.6% 7.0% 7.7% 6.6% 5.8% 5.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Stephanie Houck 5.9% 5.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.5% 7.4% 8.2% 7.6% 7.9% 7.3% 6.8% 6.9% 3.8% 3.5% 3.1% 1.0%
Derek Poon Tip 6.5% 7.0% 6.1% 5.6% 6.5% 6.9% 7.9% 7.5% 6.6% 9.0% 8.4% 6.5% 7.0% 4.5% 3.2% 0.8%
Brad Seferian 7.2% 7.4% 7.1% 8.5% 8.0% 7.4% 5.9% 8.6% 8.0% 8.1% 7.0% 6.1% 5.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Richard McCann 4.1% 4.3% 3.6% 5.9% 3.8% 6.4% 6.4% 7.8% 6.4% 8.2% 7.5% 9.2% 8.0% 8.6% 6.1% 3.7%
Phillip Schofield 5.9% 5.6% 5.4% 6.3% 6.7% 5.9% 6.6% 9.2% 8.5% 9.9% 8.8% 7.0% 5.2% 5.2% 2.3% 1.5%
Cameron Douglas 2.7% 3.1% 2.4% 4.6% 3.6% 3.7% 4.5% 4.1% 6.6% 6.0% 6.5% 7.7% 11.5% 12.1% 11.5% 9.4%
Jack Reiter 14.3% 15.0% 12.8% 11.1% 6.9% 9.2% 9.7% 5.8% 5.1% 3.6% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 7.9% 8.1% 9.8% 7.8% 10.2% 9.6% 7.4% 8.3% 6.5% 6.5% 5.9% 5.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Luke Welker 2.9% 2.6% 3.5% 3.3% 4.2% 5.1% 5.3% 5.3% 6.4% 7.1% 9.1% 9.5% 9.0% 9.5% 9.8% 7.4%
Zane Tinnell 2.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 3.6% 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 6.0% 6.4% 7.9% 8.8% 12.1% 17.2% 17.4%
William Sesack 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.4% 2.7% 3.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.1% 4.4% 5.1% 7.9% 9.5% 14.0% 15.9% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.