← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.36+3.73vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+1.92vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.05+2.56vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.60+0.26vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.12+0.25vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.39+0.81vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.20-3.89vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.96vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.02-3.50vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.39-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.73Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
3.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.2%1st Place
-
5.56University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
-
4.26Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
5.25Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
-
6.81Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
3.11Boston College3.200.2%1st Place
-
8.96Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
-
5.5Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
-
6.9University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Stephen Duncan | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Colin Richards | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 22.2% | 12.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 24.2% | 21.4% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 64.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 2.9% |
| Garrett Connelly | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.