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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+5.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+8.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.59+3.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.95+1.52vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.80+9.62vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.05+3.40vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+3.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.43-0.81vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-0.87vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.76-4.11vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.97-5.72vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.08-3.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.48-3.18vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.88vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.02-2.71vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.10-4.54vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.79-2.14vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.45-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Roger Williams University1.559.7%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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6.3Tufts University1.599.6%1st Place
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5.52Boston College1.9511.8%1st Place
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14.62University of Connecticut-0.800.5%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College0.054.8%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University1.437.3%1st Place
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8.13Northeastern University1.265.8%1st Place
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5.89Brown University1.7610.9%1st Place
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5.28Boston College1.9713.8%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College1.085.9%1st Place
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9.82Boston University0.484.0%1st Place
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11.12Olin College of Engineering0.223.2%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont-0.021.6%1st Place
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11.46University of New Hampshire0.103.0%1st Place
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14.86Salve Regina University-0.790.8%1st Place
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13.78Bentley University-0.451.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Gus Macaulay | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 27.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Jed Lory | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| James Brock | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| William Wiegand | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| James Jagielski | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| William Denker | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% |
| Sam Harris | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 33.6% |
| John O'Connell | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.