← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.05+4.40vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.39+4.87vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.99vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.20-0.91vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.36-0.22vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.12-0.74vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.60-2.73vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.02-2.51vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.39-2.13vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.87University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
-
3.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.2%1st Place
-
3.09Boston College3.200.3%1st Place
-
4.78Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
5.26Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
-
4.27Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
5.49Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
-
6.87Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.98Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Richards | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 11.6% |
| Stephen Duncan | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 25.3% | 21.0% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 12.0% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 3.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 11.8% |
| Thomas Dugan | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.