Race 1B

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Read 6.1% 8.8% 9.5% 8.6% 10.4% 12.0% 10.6% 12.9% 10.7% 6.8% 3.6%
Grace Vincens 6.0% 6.5% 5.6% 8.6% 8.4% 9.6% 10.5% 12.0% 13.6% 13.2% 6.0%
Eric Hansen 8.2% 8.2% 8.5% 8.3% 10.7% 10.1% 11.3% 11.5% 10.8% 8.7% 3.7%
Thomas Harden 15.1% 13.9% 14.3% 13.7% 11.8% 10.4% 7.7% 6.7% 3.3% 2.3% 0.8%
Zachary Champney 6.2% 6.3% 6.8% 6.7% 7.3% 10.1% 8.4% 10.8% 12.6% 16.3% 8.5%
Alex Fasolo 14.2% 14.8% 14.2% 13.0% 10.8% 8.6% 9.2% 5.9% 5.4% 3.3% 0.6%
Alex Abate 6.0% 5.9% 6.5% 7.5% 6.9% 8.6% 10.1% 10.5% 14.2% 15.4% 8.4%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.7% 6.8% 5.4% 7.8% 9.9% 9.3% 10.0% 10.8% 11.7% 15.3% 7.3%
Caleb Robinson 10.7% 11.5% 11.3% 10.9% 11.5% 8.9% 11.4% 9.5% 8.0% 4.5% 1.8%
Colin Brego 20.6% 15.8% 16.4% 12.0% 10.8% 9.3% 6.4% 4.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Olivia Mitchell 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 2.9% 1.5% 3.1% 4.4% 4.8% 7.0% 12.9% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.