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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.95+4.55vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+8.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.59+3.02vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.43+3.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.08+3.12vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.97-0.61vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.55-0.63vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+2.58vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-0.82vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.480.00vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.05-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.02+0.15vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22-1.55vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.76-8.23vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.10-3.58vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.45-2.32vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.80-2.33vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.79-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Boston College1.9511.9%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.9%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University1.5910.8%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University1.436.9%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College1.085.4%1st Place
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5.39Boston College1.9713.2%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University1.559.4%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.7%1st Place
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8.18Northeastern University1.265.5%1st Place
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10.0Boston University0.483.5%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College0.054.2%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont-0.022.4%1st Place
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11.45Olin College of Engineering0.222.4%1st Place
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5.77Brown University1.7610.8%1st Place
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11.42University of New Hampshire0.102.9%1st Place
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13.68Bentley University-0.451.6%1st Place
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14.67University of Connecticut-0.800.9%1st Place
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15.02Salve Regina University-0.790.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Gus Macaulay | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Wiegand | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| William Denker | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
| James Jagielski | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| James Brock | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| John O'Connell | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 27.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.