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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.82+4.99vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.80+1.89vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.93+0.65vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.13+1.31vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.36-0.21vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.13-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.73-0.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-1.60vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.44-4.42vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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3.65Boston College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.79Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.27Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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4.58Boston University2.440.1%1st Place
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8.86Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Vincens | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 17.7% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Colin Brego | 19.9% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Riley Read | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 3.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 8.4% |
| Alex Abate | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 9.6% |
| Caleb Robinson | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.