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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.44+3.60vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.93+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.73+3.32vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80-0.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.36-0.23vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.13-0.71vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82-1.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-1.62vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.13-3.67vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Boston University2.440.1%1st Place
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3.61Boston College2.930.2%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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4.77Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.29Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.0Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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5.33Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.86Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Robinson | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Colin Brego | 20.0% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Champney | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 8.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 12.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Eric Hansen | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 6.5% |
| Alex Abate | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 9.6% |
| Riley Read | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 13.4% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.