← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.80+1.72vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine0.90+3.58vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.22-0.73vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii3.04-1.51vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University1.32-0.09vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.73-0.16vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University0.49-0.81vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College0.56-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.72University of South Florida2.800.2%1st Place
-
5.58University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
-
2.27College of Charleston3.220.3%1st Place
-
2.49University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
-
4.91Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
-
5.84University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
-
6.19Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.0Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachael Silverstein | 22.6% | 25.4% | 24.9% | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 21.5% | 15.9% |
| Corey Hall | 34.0% | 29.1% | 20.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.5% | 25.6% | 24.2% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Duncan | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Christine Sayler | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 21.8% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 23.3% | 30.6% |
| Julia Melton | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 21.8% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.