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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.43+6.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.59+4.37vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.08+5.46vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.05+5.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10+5.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.56+2.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.95-2.36vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-0.88vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+0.98vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.97-5.74vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.55-5.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.02-0.74vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.74vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-4.66vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.80-1.26vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.45-3.44vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.58-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Roger Williams University1.437.3%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University1.599.2%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College1.085.7%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College0.054.0%1st Place
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5.82Brown University1.7611.5%1st Place
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11.53University of New Hampshire0.102.6%1st Place
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9.47Boston University0.564.6%1st Place
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5.64Boston College1.9511.9%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University1.265.8%1st Place
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10.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.6%1st Place
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5.26Boston College1.9712.7%1st Place
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6.42Roger Williams University1.5510.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Vermont-0.022.5%1st Place
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11.26Olin College of Engineering0.222.8%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.4%1st Place
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14.74University of Connecticut-0.801.1%1st Place
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13.56Bentley University-0.451.4%1st Place
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14.14Salve Regina University-0.581.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Lory | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| James Brock | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% |
| James Jagielski | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Treat | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 31.9% |
| John O'Connell | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 18.5% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.