← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.81+2.16vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.60+1.58vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.23+1.39vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+2.58vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.28-0.83vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.59-0.31vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.63-1.31vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.63-0.32vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University0.65-1.26vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.34-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.16Boston College2.810.3%1st Place
-
3.58Boston University2.600.2%1st Place
-
4.39University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
-
6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
-
4.17University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.69Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
-
5.69Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
-
7.68Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
-
7.74Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
-
6.31Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 27.1% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 19.2% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Charles Lindsay | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 12.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Joey Lark | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 5.0% |
| Ellis Heminway | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 31.5% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 33.2% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.