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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+4.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+2.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+3.33vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.76+5.65vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.48vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.91-0.86vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97-2.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82-2.67vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.06+1.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.80-5.60vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-3.35vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.15-2.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-4.88vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.09-7.48vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.24-2.14vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-1.88-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.85Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.33Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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5.39Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.77Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.33Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.33Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.16Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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8.52Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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14.86Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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15.45Columbia University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 26.0% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 23.6% | 7.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Flynn | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 6.4% | 51.7% | 34.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Fairbanks | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 28.4% | 64.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.