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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.73+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.90+1.57vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.32-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.80-3.25vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.49-0.82vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.56-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24College of Charleston3.220.4%1st Place
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5.83University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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2.48University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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4.94Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida2.800.2%1st Place
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6.18Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
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6.0Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 35.5% | 28.4% | 19.5% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Sayler | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 21.2% | 21.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.6% | 26.4% | 24.1% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 16.3% |
| Mary Duncan | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 7.1% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 22.4% | 23.3% | 26.1% | 17.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 22.7% | 30.1% |
| Julia Melton | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.