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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+7.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.59+4.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.76+2.87vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.05+5.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.97+0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.02+6.45vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.95-1.38vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.55-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.10+2.64vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.04vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-0.21vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.80+2.72vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.43-5.75vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.56-4.43vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.08-6.66vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.89vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.45-3.21vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.58-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Northeastern University1.265.7%1st Place
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6.18Tufts University1.5910.2%1st Place
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5.87Brown University1.7611.2%1st Place
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9.49Bowdoin College0.054.2%1st Place
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5.28Boston College1.9713.4%1st Place
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12.45University of Vermont-0.021.2%1st Place
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5.62Boston College1.9512.2%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University1.5510.6%1st Place
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11.64University of New Hampshire0.102.5%1st Place
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11.04Olin College of Engineering0.222.4%1st Place
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10.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.333.4%1st Place
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14.72University of Connecticut-0.800.9%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University1.437.3%1st Place
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9.57Boston University0.563.6%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College1.085.2%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.0%1st Place
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13.79Bentley University-0.451.1%1st Place
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14.32Salve Regina University-0.580.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Gus Macaulay | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 7.9% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| James Jagielski | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 32.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| John O'Connell | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 19.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.