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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.97+4.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+2.84vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+2.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.82+2.44vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.15+6.26vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.50vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.09+0.46vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.76+0.53vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.91-3.87vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.82-4.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.73vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-6.61vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.06-2.58vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-4.93vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.76-6.47vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-1.49-1.83vs Predicted
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18Princeton University-1.24-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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4.84Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.37Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.26Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.3Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.53Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.13Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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11.42Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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9.53Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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15.17Columbia University-1.490.0%1st Place
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15.06Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Filter | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 24.3% | 7.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 25.1% | 8.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Eppolito | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 5.6% | 32.5% | 56.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Flynn | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 44.4% | 42.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.