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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+3.84vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.76+7.45vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+2.22vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.16+1.42vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.06+6.47vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.97-0.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82-0.55vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.91-2.00vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-3.62vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.09-1.29vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.76-1.55vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.80-5.60vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-3.75vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.15-2.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-4.89vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.82-9.55vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.12-2.12vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-1.49-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.42Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.47Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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5.92Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.0Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.71Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.22Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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14.88Princeton University-1.120.0%1st Place
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15.29Columbia University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 12.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 25.5% | 7.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 21.3% | 7.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cowen-Breen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 6.3% | 45.0% | 40.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Eppolito | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 5.3% | 31.4% | 58.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.