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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.09+7.44vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+3.32vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.76+6.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.82+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12+0.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+3.32vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80-0.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-2.93vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.91-2.99vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+0.23vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-5.12vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-7.07vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.82-6.52vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.15-2.75vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.06-3.60vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.76-6.44vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.12-2.12vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-1.49-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.32Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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5.07Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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5.88Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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4.93Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.25Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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11.4Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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14.88Princeton University-1.120.0%1st Place
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15.28Columbia University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Tobin | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.3% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 23.5% | 8.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 28.1% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cowen-Breen | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 44.9% | 40.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Eppolito | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 32.8% | 57.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.