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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+3.77vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.97+3.87vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+2.16vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.76+5.70vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.09+3.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82+0.44vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.06+4.41vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.91-2.02vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-2.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.82-3.56vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.16-5.57vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.15-0.83vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.12-7.52vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-4.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-5.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-5.92vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-1.49-1.77vs Predicted
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18Princeton University-1.12-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.7Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.41Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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5.98Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.43Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.17Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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15.23Columbia University-1.490.0%1st Place
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14.96Princeton University-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 26.3% | 8.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 21.7% | 7.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 2.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Eppolito | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 30.8% | 59.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cowen-Breen | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 44.6% | 39.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.