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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.16+4.29vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+4.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.91+1.11vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20-0.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82-0.60vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97-2.22vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.76+0.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.82-3.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-1.57vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.09-3.42vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-3.48vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.06-2.56vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.15-3.83vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-5.92vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-1.49-1.79vs Predicted
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18Princeton University-1.12-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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4.84Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.3Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.4Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.78Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.4Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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8.58Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.44Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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11.17Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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15.21Columbia University-1.490.0%1st Place
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14.97Princeton University-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Stevens | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 25.9% | 9.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 21.3% | 7.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Eppolito | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 30.5% | 59.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cowen-Breen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 46.5% | 39.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.