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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+5.24vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.06+9.34vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+2.34vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.76+5.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80+1.38vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20-0.71vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.91-0.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.18vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97-3.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.82-3.76vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.76-1.31vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.09-3.29vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.33-8.12vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.12-8.51vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.15-3.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-5.90vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.12-2.13vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-1.49-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.34Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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5.34Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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5.29Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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5.83Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.71Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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4.88Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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11.19Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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14.87Princeton University-1.120.0%1st Place
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15.29Columbia University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 26.0% | 7.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 21.9% | 7.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cowen-Breen | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 44.7% | 40.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Eppolito | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 32.1% | 57.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.