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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.95+3.43vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.86+5.24vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+1.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.54vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.75-0.14vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.45+2.24vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.67+0.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.20-2.56vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-4.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32-2.53vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32-3.53vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.57vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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4.9Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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3.46Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.86Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.24Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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7.6Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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5.54Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.91Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Mintzias | 14.6% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.9% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 35.1% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 26.9% | 53.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.