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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.95+3.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+1.44vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.86+3.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+1.42vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.75-1.14vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.75-2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.20-1.69vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.45-0.63vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.32-1.45vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32-2.45vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.67-4.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.58vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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3.44Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.87Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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8.37Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.56Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.91Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Mintzias | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.5% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 35.1% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 27.0% | 53.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.