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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.95+3.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+1.44vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.45+5.42vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+1.55vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.75-0.17vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.32+2.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.75-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.20-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.86-1.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.54vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32-2.45vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.67-4.43vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.59vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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3.44Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.42Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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5.55Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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4.85Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.57Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.88Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Mintzias | 14.5% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 21.9% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 34.4% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 25.8% | 54.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.