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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.90+3.55vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.80-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-1.53vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.49+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.73-0.18vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.32-2.03vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.56-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23College of Charleston3.220.3%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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2.77University of South Florida2.800.2%1st Place
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2.47University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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6.22Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
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5.82University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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4.97Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.98Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 34.2% | 28.2% | 23.0% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 16.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 22.3% | 23.7% | 24.5% | 18.4% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.9% | 27.0% | 22.9% | 13.5% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 23.3% | 30.1% |
| Christine Sayler | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 21.5% |
| Mary Duncan | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
| Julia Melton | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.