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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.59+5.69vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.08+6.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.76+3.41vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.48+6.84vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.97+0.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+0.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.02vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.95-1.85vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-0.36vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.05+0.05vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.55-4.17vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.43-4.29vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.96vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.80+1.56vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.10-2.83vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-4.72vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.79-1.14vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.02-4.97vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-0.45-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Tufts University1.598.7%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College1.085.9%1st Place
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6.41Brown University1.769.0%1st Place
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10.84Boston University0.483.2%1st Place
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5.71Boston College1.9713.1%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.629.7%1st Place
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11.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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6.15Boston College1.959.7%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University1.265.9%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College0.053.9%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University1.559.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University1.436.9%1st Place
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12.04Olin College of Engineering0.222.1%1st Place
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15.56University of Connecticut-0.800.7%1st Place
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12.17University of New Hampshire0.102.9%1st Place
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11.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.9%1st Place
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15.86Salve Regina University-0.790.6%1st Place
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13.03University of Vermont-0.021.9%1st Place
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14.59Bentley University-0.450.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Macaulay | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| James Brock | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 28.0% |
| Sam Harris | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 18.9% | 33.4% |
| William Denker | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| John O'Connell | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.