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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+4.48vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.20+4.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.38vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.32+4.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.750.00vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.86+1.29vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.75-2.11vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.95-3.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-2.56vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.34-1.21vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32-2.25vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.23+0.28vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.08+0.75vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-1.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-2.95vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.45-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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3.38Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.0Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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4.89Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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4.44Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.79Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.28Columbia University-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.75Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.79Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.42Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.7% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 10.8% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Ryan | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Treatman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 23.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 22.6% | 49.7% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 27.6% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.