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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+4.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+2.78vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+1.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.20+2.32vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.750.00vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.32+2.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.86-0.71vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.38-5.63vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.32-1.20vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.34-2.22vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.45-3.56vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-0.75vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.47-1.19vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.23-2.72vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.08-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.78Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.34Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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5.0Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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3.37Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.78Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.44Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.81Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.28Columbia University-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.55Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 11.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 13.8% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.9% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Ryan | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 23.6% | 21.7% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 24.8% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| David Treatman | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 16.9% | 22.5% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 23.9% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.