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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.95+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.20+4.21vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+1.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+1.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.34+3.70vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.32+2.82vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.32+1.82vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-4.59vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.86-1.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.49vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.45-2.49vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47+0.70vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.75-7.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.81vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.23-2.71vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.08-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Fordham University2.950.2%1st Place
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6.21University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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4.8Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.54Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.7Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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3.41Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.34University of Pennsylvania1.860.1%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.51Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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12.7Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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5.08Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.29Columbia University-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.56Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Mintzias | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Ryan | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.6% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 26.3% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 24.0% | 21.5% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| David Treatman | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 24.4% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 48.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.