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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+4.45vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.95+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.20+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.86+3.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-1.52vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.34+2.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-0.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.75-3.11vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32-0.31vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.32-1.31vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.75-6.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12+0.08vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-0.10vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.45-5.37vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.08-1.37vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.23-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.26Fordham University2.950.2%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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3.48Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.72Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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4.89Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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4.97Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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12.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.9Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.63Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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13.63Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.23Columbia University-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 10.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 15.3% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.8% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Ryan | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 21.7% | 25.9% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 22.8% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
| David Treatman | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 23.9% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.