← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.38+2.42vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.75+2.72vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.50+2.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.20+2.36vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.95-0.59vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.75-1.14vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.86+0.23vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.34+0.72vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.45-0.57vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University-0.23+2.35vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute-0.47+1.70vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.32-3.05vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-6.29vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-1.08-0.36vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-2.93vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.32-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
4.72Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.45Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.36University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.41Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
-
4.86Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.23University of Pennsylvania1.860.1%1st Place
-
8.72Yale University1.340.0%1st Place
-
8.43Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
-
12.35Columbia University-0.230.0%1st Place
-
12.7Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
-
8.95Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
-
13.64Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
-
12.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
-
8.95Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 24.6% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 11.9% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 10.1% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Ryan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Treatman | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 25.1% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 25.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.