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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.13+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.18+0.77vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+0.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.35vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.17-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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2.44University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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4.24Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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3.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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6.35University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.4Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 39.4% | 27.4% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 29.5% | 27.8% | 22.8% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 9.7% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 22.7% | 20.6% | 12.3% | 2.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 25.4% | 19.1% | 5.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 10.1% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 22.0% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Julianna Bennett | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 19.6% | 66.2% |
| Abigail Wright | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 38.0% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.