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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.13+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.18+0.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40-1.80vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.85-0.72vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.17-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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3.75University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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2.2Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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4.28Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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5.54Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.22University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Julian | 13.2% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 28.0% | 29.0% | 22.2% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Meghan Haviland | 11.0% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 21.0% | 23.2% | 10.3% | 2.9% |
| Talia Toland | 37.4% | 27.3% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 6.2% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 27.2% | 17.6% | 5.8% |
| Abigail Wright | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 38.5% | 26.7% |
| Julianna Bennett | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 20.9% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.