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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.18+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.13+0.49vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+1.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40-1.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.34vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.17-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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2.49University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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4.2Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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2.22Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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3.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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6.34University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.38Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Haviland | 11.8% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 3.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 28.8% | 27.9% | 20.5% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 27.6% | 18.4% | 4.4% |
| Talia Toland | 37.1% | 27.3% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 10.1% | 14.8% | 21.8% | 21.6% | 19.4% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
| Julianna Bennett | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 18.0% | 66.6% |
| Abigail Wright | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 39.4% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.