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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+5.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+4.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+3.68vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+6.91vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.08+3.77vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.97-0.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.48+3.84vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.55-1.15vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.59-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.02+3.09vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.43-3.39vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-1.54vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.26-5.35vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.05-5.02vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.10-3.63vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.79-1.10vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.80-2.62vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-0.45-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Brown University1.769.7%1st Place
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6.03Boston College1.9511.0%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6210.4%1st Place
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10.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.5%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College1.085.3%1st Place
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5.92Boston College1.9711.2%1st Place
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10.84Boston University0.484.0%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University1.557.5%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University1.599.3%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont-0.021.7%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University1.437.5%1st Place
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11.96Olin College of Engineering0.222.3%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.4%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University1.266.1%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College0.053.8%1st Place
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12.37University of New Hampshire0.101.9%1st Place
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15.9Salve Regina University-0.790.6%1st Place
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15.38University of Connecticut-0.801.0%1st Place
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14.72Bentley University-0.450.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 6.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sam Harris | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 19.6% | 33.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 27.5% |
| John O'Connell | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.