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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.85+3.15vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+0.17vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.13-2.48vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.34vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.17-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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2.17Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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3.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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6.34University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.4Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainsley Parramore | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 23.1% | 18.2% | 5.6% |
| Talia Toland | 38.4% | 27.8% | 19.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Julian | 11.5% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 24.8% | 20.6% | 8.6% | 1.6% |
| Meghan Haviland | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 23.6% | 12.9% | 2.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 27.5% | 28.9% | 20.1% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 17.7% | 66.5% |
| Abigail Wright | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 39.6% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.