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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+1.18vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+2.22vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.17+2.48vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.13-1.48vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.99+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.18-2.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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4.22Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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5.48Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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2.52University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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6.33University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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3.79University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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3.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 37.7% | 29.0% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 26.9% | 18.2% | 4.9% |
| Abigail Wright | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 16.0% | 39.3% | 25.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 27.0% | 27.9% | 22.2% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Julianna Bennett | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 19.1% | 65.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 10.1% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 23.0% | 20.9% | 12.0% | 2.8% |
| Meredith Julian | 13.3% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 18.2% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.