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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+1.17vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.13-0.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.18-1.17vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.17-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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4.19Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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3.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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5.52Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.23University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 37.9% | 29.4% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 21.8% | 25.4% | 17.0% | 4.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 27.9% | 29.0% | 22.1% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Julian | 12.9% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 9.7% | 2.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 9.6% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 20.6% | 13.0% | 3.3% |
| Abigail Wright | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 38.4% | 26.8% |
| Julianna Bennett | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 19.1% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.