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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.13+0.47vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+1.23vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-0.41vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.17+0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.18-2.24vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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2.47University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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4.23Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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3.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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5.54Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.76University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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6.23University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 38.3% | 28.0% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 27.5% | 30.2% | 20.9% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.3% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 21.0% | 26.0% | 17.3% | 5.4% |
| Meredith Julian | 12.0% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 21.4% | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Abigail Wright | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 39.4% | 26.6% |
| Meghan Haviland | 11.2% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% |
| Julianna Bennett | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 18.2% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.