← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.40+1.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.13+0.41vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College0.85+1.02vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-0.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.18-1.29vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.17-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
-
2.41University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
-
4.02Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
-
3.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
-
3.71University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
-
5.24Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 36.0% | 30.9% | 18.8% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 31.8% | 25.9% | 20.7% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.9% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 21.9% | 28.4% | 16.5% |
| Meredith Julian | 12.5% | 14.9% | 22.6% | 21.6% | 21.8% | 6.6% |
| Meghan Haviland | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 22.7% | 23.0% | 12.0% |
| Abigail Wright | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.