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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+1.16vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.13+0.40vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18-0.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-1.44vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.17-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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2.4University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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4.03Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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3.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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5.24Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 36.1% | 31.3% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 32.2% | 25.9% | 20.6% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 22.3% | 27.7% | 17.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 10.6% | 13.5% | 20.8% | 22.0% | 25.3% | 7.8% |
| Meredith Julian | 10.9% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 21.7% | 20.9% | 10.0% |
| Abigail Wright | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.