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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.18+2.64vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.13-0.61vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+0.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-1.45vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.17-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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2.15Tufts University2.400.4%1st Place
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2.39University of Vermont2.130.3%1st Place
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4.03Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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3.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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5.24Middlebury College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Haviland | 10.3% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 24.0% | 22.4% | 10.4% |
| Talia Toland | 39.3% | 28.0% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 30.2% | 28.0% | 21.8% | 13.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.8% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 29.9% | 15.3% |
| Meredith Julian | 10.6% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 19.8% | 10.2% |
| Abigail Wright | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 18.1% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.